← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California-0.10+3.02vs Predicted
-
2San Diego State University-0.54+3.25vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-0.97+3.78vs Predicted
-
4Arizona State University-0.90+2.51vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-0.58+0.37vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.99+4.61vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.64+2.16vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-1.33vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.08vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-2.32+1.53vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+0.65vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-3.32+2.30vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.71-3.46vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-1.53-5.10vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-6.47vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-5.03vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-3.78-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.02University of Southern California-0.100.2%1st Place
-
5.25San Diego State University-0.540.1%1st Place
-
6.78University of California at San Diego-0.970.1%1st Place
-
6.51Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
-
5.37University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
-
10.61University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
-
9.16University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
-
6.67University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.1%1st Place
-
7.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
-
11.53University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
-
11.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
14.3University of California at Los Angeles-3.320.0%1st Place
-
9.54University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
8.9Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
8.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
-
10.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
-
15.28Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Ansart | 19.7% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 12.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Emma Kalway | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Martin | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Nodini | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Colin Thompson | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 5.8% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 23.6% | 30.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Sean Kenealy | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Briar | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 18.7% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.