← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.86vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California-0.10+1.65vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-1.64+5.46vs Predicted
-
4San Diego State University-0.54+0.92vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-0.90+0.82vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.99+3.89vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.71+1.72vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-0.31vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34+2.10vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-2.95vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-0.04vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-2.60-0.19vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-1.53-4.87vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-3.32-0.06vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University-3.78-0.17vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-2.32-5.10vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.86University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
-
3.65University of Southern California-0.100.2%1st Place
-
8.46University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
-
4.92San Diego State University-0.540.1%1st Place
-
5.82Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
-
9.89University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
-
8.72University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
7.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
-
11.1University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
-
10.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
11.81University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.13Arizona State University-1.530.1%1st Place
-
13.94University of California at Los Angeles-3.320.0%1st Place
-
14.83Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
-
10.9University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
-
10.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 22.7% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Burton | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 3.6% |
| Maria Guinness | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 6.7% |
| Sean Kenealy | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 23.6% | 26.2% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 47.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.