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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University-0.54+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.10+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34+6.90vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.53+2.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.64+2.63vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.90-1.11vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+2.71vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13+1.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.71-2.14vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-4.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.32-2.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.60-2.07vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-3.78-0.15vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-3.32-2.06vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-9.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74San Diego State University-0.540.2%1st Place
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4.92University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Southern California-0.100.2%1st Place
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10.9University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.0%1st Place
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7.96Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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8.63University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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5.89Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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10.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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10.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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9.63University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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7.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.1%1st Place
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10.99University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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11.93University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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14.85Arizona State University-3.780.0%1st Place
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13.94University of California at Los Angeles-3.320.0%1st Place
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7.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Burton | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 14.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 20.7% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximus Suh | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kalway | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 3.6% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Maria Guinness | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 8.3% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 48.3% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 24.2% | 24.4% |
| Nathan Briar | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.