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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+1.81vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+4.50vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+4.25vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.89+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.23vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.73+0.28vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.28+0.89vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16+0.23vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-2.04vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.24-1.96vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.11-2.37vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.00-2.99vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.42vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.10-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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3.81Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.89Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.23Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.96Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.04University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 14.4% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 21.8% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Grace Gear | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.