Race 3A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Grace Gear 8.7% 8.0% 8.0% 9.1% 7.8% 8.0% 8.3% 7.5% 8.2% 6.2% 5.8% 5.3% 4.3% 2.5% 2.3%
Charlotte Costikyan 6.3% 7.9% 7.3% 7.4% 8.1% 8.2% 8.8% 7.2% 7.5% 6.7% 7.3% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 1.5%
Tiare Sierra 5.5% 3.7% 5.7% 6.1% 8.2% 6.2% 6.2% 7.3% 7.5% 7.6% 7.8% 9.3% 9.0% 5.8% 4.1%
Emily Bornarth 13.8% 12.7% 11.4% 11.9% 9.8% 9.1% 8.1% 6.9% 5.7% 3.7% 3.1% 1.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Brooke Barry 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 5.3% 4.7% 5.8% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 6.4% 10.2% 8.7% 8.3% 9.2% 6.0%
Meredith Broadus 3.1% 3.5% 3.6% 3.2% 3.2% 5.2% 5.4% 5.4% 5.5% 8.4% 9.2% 10.1% 10.4% 12.9% 10.9%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.8% 4.8% 6.3% 5.8% 6.8% 7.8% 6.6% 7.7% 8.8% 9.6% 5.9% 8.4% 5.7% 6.3% 2.7%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.6% 3.7% 4.2% 4.1% 5.9% 5.3% 6.1% 6.6% 6.4% 6.8% 8.8% 7.8% 10.9% 11.1% 8.7%
Elizabeth Gildea 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 4.3% 5.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.7% 8.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.4% 12.1% 8.8% 5.0%
Kay Brunsvold 5.9% 7.1% 8.3% 9.7% 7.3% 7.4% 7.9% 9.1% 7.9% 7.0% 6.7% 6.8% 4.1% 3.9% 0.9%
Caroline Sibilly 18.7% 18.7% 12.5% 10.5% 10.1% 7.8% 6.3% 5.2% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Luciana Solorzano 1.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 4.1% 5.1% 5.4% 9.2% 13.9% 46.7%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.5% 5.1% 6.8% 6.3% 7.1% 5.9% 6.9% 6.3% 7.5% 10.0% 9.6% 8.7% 6.4% 4.6% 3.3%
Torrey Chisari 9.4% 10.5% 10.8% 11.0% 8.6% 9.1% 7.6% 8.7% 6.6% 5.8% 4.3% 3.8% 2.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Aili Moffet 3.1% 4.7% 4.2% 4.0% 5.3% 5.8% 5.9% 6.0% 5.4% 8.1% 7.2% 9.8% 10.2% 12.7% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.