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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+7.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+2.96vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+3.95vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+0.06vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.16+4.44vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.81vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89-0.17vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11+1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.18-3.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.00+0.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.73-4.34vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-3.77vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.10-1.51vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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6.95University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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4.06Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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9.44Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.59Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.66Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.23Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.49University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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7.99Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 13.2% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 19.9% | 18.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Grace Gear | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 9.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 45.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.