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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.89vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.16+7.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.98vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+4.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.00+4.95vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+1.99vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-2.98vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.86-0.94vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.73-1.64vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.89-3.02vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.11-1.41vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-3.96vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-3.74vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.10-1.50vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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9.21Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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4.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.99Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.02Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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7.06University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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7.36Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.59Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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9.26Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Chisari | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 14.5% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 20.4% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Grace Gear | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Aili Moffet | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.3% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 44.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.