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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.28+7.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.75vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.86+2.83vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+2.74vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.68vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.89-0.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.90vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.16+0.23vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-2.04vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.10+1.43vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.92-1.69vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-4.39vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.00-4.20vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.82-11.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.12Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.83University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.23Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.96Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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12.43University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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8.61Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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3.96Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Grace Gear | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Emma Snead | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 43.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 12.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 9.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 21.5% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.