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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.83vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+3.80vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28+4.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.00+4.64vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+2.29vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+0.23vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.73-0.82vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57-1.17vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.17vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.46vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.89-5.31vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.16-4.02vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.92-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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3.75Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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6.8University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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8.72Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.29Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.83Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.98Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 9.7% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 22.1% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 18.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% |
| Grace Gear | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.