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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+2.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+4.94vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+3.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.97vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.85vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+1.87vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.16+1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.89-1.41vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.28-0.20vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-2.41vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44-2.80vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.92-3.27vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.00-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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6.94Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.81University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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7.87Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.8Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.8Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 21.7% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Emma Snead | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% |
| Grace Gear | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 20.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.