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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+10.32vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+5.26vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+4.35vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.52vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+0.57vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+4.03vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+0.81vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.34+0.87vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71+2.27vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.55+1.78vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.05+2.85vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.15-2.69vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.05-3.03vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.02vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.17-8.93vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-4.91vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.48-4.56vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.37-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.9%1st Place
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7.26Bowdoin College1.847.4%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.107.1%1st Place
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4.52Yale University2.5518.9%1st Place
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5.57Boston College2.5612.8%1st Place
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10.03Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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7.81Georgetown University1.866.0%1st Place
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8.87Tulane University1.344.5%1st Place
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11.27Fordham University0.713.0%1st Place
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11.78Northwestern University0.552.5%1st Place
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13.85Florida State University0.051.1%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University1.154.5%1st Place
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9.97University of Hawaii1.054.5%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.8%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.1710.3%1st Place
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11.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.8%1st Place
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12.44University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
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12.51Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Young | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.9% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
| Niah Ford | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 26.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Emma Wang | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.