Race 12A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Grace Gear 7.6% 8.0% 11.5% 7.7% 7.2% 8.7% 8.8% 8.8% 8.1% 5.5% 5.4% 5.5% 4.1% 3.1%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.8% 4.7% 3.5% 5.7% 6.5% 4.9% 6.2% 6.0% 7.4% 7.7% 9.4% 9.8% 11.5% 12.9%
Emma Snead 9.9% 10.6% 9.8% 9.5% 9.4% 8.8% 8.4% 7.8% 6.3% 6.8% 6.0% 3.2% 2.6% 0.9%
Kay Brunsvold 6.9% 7.9% 8.7% 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.3% 6.5% 7.9% 8.7% 5.4% 7.1% 3.9% 3.2%
Caroline Sibilly 19.6% 17.8% 14.3% 13.3% 9.0% 7.5% 6.5% 4.5% 3.1% 2.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 6.4% 5.3% 7.0% 6.3% 6.9% 7.5% 9.0% 6.3% 9.3% 7.4% 8.3% 7.3% 7.1% 5.9%
Brooke Barry 5.2% 4.9% 6.7% 5.8% 6.8% 5.0% 6.4% 8.2% 6.5% 8.6% 8.8% 9.2% 9.6% 8.3%
Torrey Chisari 11.1% 12.3% 9.1% 10.7% 8.3% 8.9% 7.6% 7.0% 6.4% 6.0% 4.5% 4.9% 2.1% 1.1%
Meredith Broadus 4.2% 3.2% 2.7% 3.3% 3.8% 5.1% 5.1% 5.3% 7.6% 6.7% 9.6% 11.1% 13.5% 18.8%
Aili Moffet 3.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 6.0% 5.0% 7.8% 6.6% 7.0% 9.0% 9.4% 13.5% 16.3%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.2% 4.1% 3.8% 4.5% 6.5% 6.4% 5.9% 7.4% 7.3% 8.3% 10.3% 8.9% 10.4% 12.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 6.7% 6.2% 6.6% 7.8% 9.0% 8.1% 8.3% 8.6% 8.3% 7.4% 4.5% 8.1% 6.0% 4.4%
Elizabeth Cutler 5.8% 7.0% 5.6% 6.9% 6.0% 8.8% 7.6% 9.3% 6.8% 8.4% 8.3% 6.4% 7.7% 5.4%
Tiare Sierra 5.1% 5.0% 7.2% 6.4% 6.6% 5.5% 6.9% 6.5% 8.4% 9.5% 9.0% 8.7% 7.6% 7.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.