Race 13A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Sibilly 20.5% 18.9% 14.6% 10.7% 10.0% 6.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Emma Snead 10.6% 11.1% 10.6% 9.7% 8.4% 10.3% 8.9% 8.4% 6.0% 4.4% 5.5% 2.6% 2.2% 1.3%
Kay Brunsvold 7.5% 7.9% 8.3% 8.7% 8.7% 8.1% 8.0% 7.6% 6.5% 7.7% 8.1% 5.9% 4.0% 3.0%
Torrey Chisari 9.1% 11.1% 10.0% 10.6% 9.7% 10.2% 7.9% 8.5% 6.3% 5.6% 4.3% 3.2% 2.4% 1.1%
Brooke Barry 3.4% 4.5% 5.4% 6.3% 6.8% 5.5% 6.2% 6.9% 7.9% 8.9% 8.0% 9.0% 11.5% 9.7%
Aili Moffet 4.4% 3.3% 3.0% 4.3% 4.1% 6.3% 5.0% 5.9% 7.7% 8.9% 8.8% 9.9% 12.3% 16.1%
Tiare Sierra 6.3% 5.6% 6.6% 6.1% 5.6% 6.7% 8.3% 7.3% 7.6% 6.8% 9.1% 9.2% 8.3% 6.5%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 6.7% 6.2% 8.0% 7.0% 7.8% 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 7.9% 6.6% 7.5% 8.0% 7.1% 6.0%
Meredith Broadus 3.8% 2.9% 2.3% 4.4% 5.3% 3.0% 4.7% 6.8% 6.1% 8.5% 8.2% 12.9% 13.2% 17.9%
Grace Gear 7.6% 6.5% 9.6% 9.2% 8.5% 7.4% 8.3% 8.1% 7.2% 7.7% 7.1% 7.0% 3.5% 2.3%
Elizabeth Cutler 5.4% 5.7% 5.3% 6.8% 7.8% 7.6% 7.8% 7.3% 8.5% 7.4% 8.1% 8.5% 7.3% 6.5%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.7% 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 6.3% 6.8% 6.2% 6.9% 9.0% 8.6% 8.4% 7.5% 10.9% 12.3%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.8% 4.5% 4.8% 4.6% 3.7% 5.3% 6.5% 8.1% 8.1% 7.5% 7.8% 9.8% 11.3% 14.2%
Charlotte Costikyan 6.2% 8.2% 7.5% 6.8% 7.3% 9.5% 8.8% 6.7% 8.3% 9.3% 7.2% 5.9% 5.2% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.