Race 14A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emma Snead 9.4% 11.4% 10.8% 10.0% 9.7% 7.5% 7.9% 7.4% 6.4% 6.1% 4.2% 4.7% 2.9% 1.6%
Torrey Chisari 12.0% 11.1% 9.7% 11.7% 9.3% 8.8% 8.1% 7.7% 6.5% 6.3% 3.3% 2.9% 1.4% 1.2%
Grace Gear 8.2% 9.0% 7.9% 7.8% 7.7% 7.5% 9.4% 8.7% 6.0% 7.1% 9.0% 5.8% 2.8% 3.1%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.2% 6.1% 7.3% 7.1% 7.6% 7.7% 6.9% 7.5% 8.8% 8.3% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 4.8%
Caroline Sibilly 17.8% 18.7% 14.7% 13.6% 9.6% 7.0% 6.0% 5.3% 2.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.0% 3.4% 4.5% 3.8% 4.6% 5.4% 4.7% 7.4% 8.7% 8.2% 7.4% 11.0% 11.1% 15.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.7% 6.9% 7.0% 6.2% 7.5% 7.7% 7.8% 7.6% 7.0% 8.5% 7.6% 7.3% 6.7% 5.5%
Brooke Barry 5.3% 4.5% 5.7% 5.2% 7.2% 6.4% 5.6% 6.1% 7.8% 8.3% 9.0% 9.4% 8.5% 11.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 7.2% 5.6% 7.3% 6.6% 6.8% 8.7% 9.5% 8.6% 8.8% 6.6% 8.4% 6.2% 6.4% 3.3%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.2% 3.6% 4.3% 5.9% 6.5% 6.1% 5.7% 6.2% 7.9% 7.2% 10.0% 9.6% 11.8% 11.0%
Kay Brunsvold 8.0% 7.5% 7.4% 8.2% 7.4% 9.3% 9.4% 7.5% 7.9% 6.5% 6.9% 4.8% 5.6% 3.6%
Meredith Broadus 3.0% 3.3% 3.1% 4.0% 4.1% 5.0% 5.8% 6.0% 6.3% 8.3% 10.0% 10.3% 12.4% 18.4%
Tiare Sierra 5.4% 5.7% 5.4% 5.5% 5.7% 7.3% 8.2% 7.9% 8.7% 8.1% 7.0% 8.4% 10.3% 6.4%
Aili Moffet 3.6% 3.2% 4.9% 4.4% 6.3% 5.6% 5.0% 6.1% 6.6% 8.2% 8.6% 11.5% 11.9% 14.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.