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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.91+4.01vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.04+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.88+2.05vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.95+4.00vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.01+2.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+1.25vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.77+1.51vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-1.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.30-2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.08+0.60vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.01-6.14vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.52+0.21vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.00-4.94vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.39-4.28vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.68-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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4.59Boston College2.040.2%1st Place
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5.05University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.83Old Dominion University1.010.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College0.770.1%1st Place
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6.83Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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4.86Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.21University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.06Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.72Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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14.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 14.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 11.9% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Megan Geith | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Celia Houston | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 2.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 14.4% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 43.8% | 6.7% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 1.4% |
| Yitian Zhu | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 6.1% | 86.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.