Race 2B

emily-wick

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Libby Redmond 14.5% 16.7% 13.1% 10.4% 10.1% 9.2% 6.2% 6.8% 4.9% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Madeleine Rice 13.3% 13.9% 11.7% 11.0% 9.8% 11.1% 7.6% 6.1% 6.1% 3.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Haley Andreasen 7.2% 6.4% 8.6% 9.0% 6.7% 8.7% 10.7% 7.6% 8.4% 8.7% 7.3% 6.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Katherine McNamara 15.2% 13.0% 13.0% 10.9% 11.2% 9.2% 7.6% 5.5% 6.1% 4.5% 1.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 13.6% 12.2% 9.4% 11.3% 10.6% 11.3% 8.4% 7.3% 5.9% 3.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.7% 2.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 4.1% 5.0% 4.4% 6.3% 9.2% 14.4% 19.8% 19.6% 2.2%
Madeline Stull 3.3% 2.9% 3.8% 3.2% 4.0% 3.5% 5.6% 6.1% 7.6% 7.4% 11.2% 12.7% 15.1% 12.1% 1.5%
Caroline Sandoval 5.6% 5.3% 6.1% 6.8% 5.9% 6.7% 8.3% 7.5% 9.0% 9.9% 9.8% 7.9% 6.8% 4.0% 0.4%
Caylin Schnoor 4.2% 4.8% 5.8% 5.0% 8.1% 7.5% 7.6% 8.9% 8.8% 8.8% 9.8% 9.4% 7.5% 3.7% 0.1%
Hailey Pemberton 3.7% 3.9% 4.3% 4.7% 5.6% 7.5% 6.2% 7.8% 9.6% 9.6% 9.2% 10.0% 11.7% 5.8% 0.4%
Katherine Simcoe 1.3% 1.3% 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 2.7% 3.3% 3.1% 4.3% 6.4% 8.6% 14.4% 39.5% 9.3%
Megan Geith 3.6% 4.2% 6.8% 7.1% 7.2% 5.9% 7.8% 8.9% 7.9% 10.0% 10.1% 9.3% 8.1% 2.9% 0.2%
Celia Houston 6.1% 5.5% 6.5% 8.0% 6.8% 6.0% 8.1% 10.3% 9.1% 9.0% 9.2% 7.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.2%
Olivia Lowthian 6.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.9% 9.0% 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.8% 9.8% 6.0% 6.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Yitian Zhu 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.8% 2.5% 7.3% 85.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.