← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College0.77+7.59vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.88+3.11vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.01+1.78vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.30+2.98vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.91+0.29vs Predicted
-
6Boston University0.39+3.92vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.04-2.24vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University0.95+0.20vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan-0.52+3.16vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-2.60vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.01-2.97vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.00-3.76vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.76-4.04vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.31-7.07vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.68-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.59Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
-
5.11University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.78Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
6.98Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
-
5.29University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
-
9.92Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
-
4.76Boston College2.040.2%1st Place
-
8.2Roger Williams University0.950.1%1st Place
-
12.16University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
-
7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
-
8.03Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
-
8.24Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
6.93Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
-
14.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hailey Pemberton | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 0.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 12.1% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 1.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 16.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 43.6% | 7.6% |
| Celia Houston | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Megan Geith | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Yitian Zhu | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 87.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.