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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.91+4.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+5.21vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.88+2.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University0.95+4.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01-0.05vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+1.05vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.04-2.24vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-1.01vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.00-1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76-1.14vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.39-1.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.77-3.01vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.01-4.82vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.52-1.86vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.68-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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4.95Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.76Boston College2.040.2%1st Place
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6.99Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.93Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.94Boston University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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14.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Celia Houston | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 15.3% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Stull | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 2.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 0.4% |
| Megan Geith | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 44.9% | 7.7% |
| Yitian Zhu | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 6.6% | 87.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.