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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+3.51vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+4.38vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+5.82vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+2.27vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17+0.13vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34+1.88vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+3.32vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86-1.16vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+2.40vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.05+2.84vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.71-0.66vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-3.09vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.20vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-2.41vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.15-6.53vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.55-5.19vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Yale University2.5518.4%1st Place
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5.51Boston College2.5612.3%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.107.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Hawaii1.054.5%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College1.847.8%1st Place
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6.13Harvard University2.1711.1%1st Place
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8.88Tulane University1.345.7%1st Place
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11.32St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.5%1st Place
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7.84Georgetown University1.866.5%1st Place
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12.4University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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13.84Florida State University0.051.1%1st Place
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11.34Fordham University0.712.6%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.184.1%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.5%1st Place
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12.59Boston University0.371.6%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University1.153.8%1st Place
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11.81Northwestern University0.552.2%1st Place
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11.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 18.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% |
| Niah Ford | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 28.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Emma Wang | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.