Race 9B

emily-wick

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 18.2% 15.8% 13.6% 11.9% 12.0% 8.5% 7.5% 4.9% 4.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Megan Geith 5.1% 4.8% 4.9% 6.9% 6.4% 7.3% 8.9% 9.3% 9.8% 12.6% 12.6% 10.9% 0.5%
Olivia Lowthian 6.0% 6.5% 6.5% 9.5% 8.6% 9.6% 9.8% 9.5% 10.6% 9.5% 8.5% 5.1% 0.3%
Libby Redmond 14.2% 12.9% 13.5% 10.2% 11.2% 9.3% 7.7% 8.7% 6.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Julia Conneely 9.3% 10.5% 11.5% 8.6% 8.7% 9.5% 9.3% 9.5% 8.0% 7.1% 5.5% 2.5% 0.0%
Madeleine Rice 11.6% 13.0% 11.5% 11.6% 11.0% 9.9% 9.8% 6.8% 5.3% 5.7% 2.1% 1.7% 0.0%
Hailey Pemberton 4.8% 4.0% 5.2% 5.9% 5.4% 6.1% 5.9% 9.2% 10.7% 11.3% 15.3% 15.0% 1.2%
Caroline Sandoval 4.7% 5.7% 5.6% 6.0% 6.9% 6.6% 9.7% 8.7% 12.1% 11.0% 11.3% 11.2% 0.5%
Sydney Monahan 11.5% 12.6% 11.5% 11.7% 10.6% 10.7% 7.8% 7.9% 6.3% 4.2% 4.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Haley Andreasen 7.4% 6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.9% 8.9% 9.6% 8.6% 9.5% 5.9% 0.7%
Caylin Schnoor 4.7% 5.0% 5.7% 6.7% 6.5% 7.4% 9.1% 9.4% 10.4% 12.6% 10.6% 11.1% 0.8%
Madeline Stull 2.3% 2.7% 3.0% 2.7% 4.4% 5.5% 4.3% 7.1% 6.7% 11.0% 16.5% 31.3% 2.5%
Yitian Zhu 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 3.4% 93.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.