Race 10B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 17.8% 15.8% 14.2% 13.5% 10.5% 8.0% 8.0% 5.0% 2.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Madeleine Rice 11.7% 11.1% 12.7% 10.1% 11.3% 10.7% 9.0% 7.2% 7.1% 4.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Libby Redmond 13.3% 13.8% 12.9% 12.2% 10.0% 10.3% 8.9% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Caylin Schnoor 3.6% 5.3% 5.3% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 7.2% 8.8% 10.4% 11.3% 12.5% 13.5% 1.1%
Julia Conneely 8.8% 11.6% 9.9% 8.8% 9.5% 9.2% 9.9% 9.6% 9.0% 5.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.2%
Sydney Monahan 12.8% 12.2% 13.5% 11.0% 9.9% 11.0% 8.7% 6.3% 6.0% 4.0% 2.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Megan Geith 6.4% 5.2% 6.0% 5.7% 6.7% 8.0% 7.5% 9.5% 10.2% 11.0% 12.9% 10.2% 0.7%
Hailey Pemberton 3.7% 5.4% 4.2% 4.0% 5.6% 5.2% 8.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.4% 14.5% 16.0% 0.8%
Caroline Sandoval 5.3% 4.5% 5.5% 5.7% 7.5% 6.6% 7.7% 11.3% 10.3% 10.7% 11.8% 12.1% 1.0%
Haley Andreasen 7.3% 7.0% 6.5% 8.1% 8.8% 10.0% 9.7% 8.0% 9.3% 10.1% 8.4% 6.5% 0.3%
Madeline Stull 2.4% 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 5.5% 4.6% 6.4% 6.6% 8.1% 12.1% 15.8% 26.8% 2.1%
Olivia Lowthian 6.7% 5.8% 5.8% 10.1% 7.5% 9.0% 8.4% 10.0% 10.0% 12.5% 7.6% 6.2% 0.4%
Yitian Zhu 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 3.1% 93.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.