Race 11B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Libby Redmond 13.5% 13.9% 12.6% 12.3% 10.4% 9.7% 8.1% 7.9% 5.0% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 17.7% 16.1% 14.9% 12.3% 11.4% 8.4% 7.1% 5.1% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Hailey Pemberton 3.2% 3.3% 3.7% 5.5% 6.6% 7.3% 7.5% 8.0% 9.5% 12.8% 15.7% 15.7% 1.2%
Caroline Sandoval 3.7% 5.2% 6.1% 6.6% 7.4% 7.9% 7.7% 8.8% 9.0% 13.6% 13.0% 10.2% 0.8%
Madeleine Rice 12.5% 13.4% 12.4% 9.5% 8.8% 11.1% 9.2% 6.5% 7.9% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 13.5% 11.7% 12.6% 10.3% 11.4% 11.1% 7.7% 7.3% 6.3% 4.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Megan Geith 6.0% 5.1% 6.2% 6.8% 6.1% 5.6% 9.3% 9.9% 10.8% 11.2% 13.0% 9.3% 0.7%
Caylin Schnoor 4.3% 6.3% 3.8% 5.2% 5.8% 8.2% 9.9% 8.6% 11.5% 12.5% 11.9% 11.4% 0.6%
Julia Conneely 9.4% 7.9% 9.9% 11.0% 9.6% 8.5% 10.0% 10.2% 7.5% 6.8% 5.8% 3.0% 0.4%
Haley Andreasen 7.5% 6.9% 6.7% 8.6% 8.5% 8.5% 8.4% 9.5% 10.8% 9.6% 7.7% 6.8% 0.5%
Olivia Lowthian 6.3% 7.2% 8.1% 8.5% 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 11.2% 9.9% 7.9% 7.3% 5.0% 0.2%
Madeline Stull 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 4.6% 4.3% 5.0% 6.7% 8.0% 9.8% 16.2% 31.8% 2.4%
Yitian Zhu 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 0.9% 3.2% 93.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.