Race 12B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caroline Sandoval 5.0% 4.3% 4.6% 6.8% 7.6% 7.6% 8.4% 9.7% 10.3% 11.7% 12.1% 11.3% 0.6%
Madeleine Rice 10.8% 12.0% 11.9% 13.0% 8.8% 10.9% 9.7% 7.1% 6.3% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 16.8% 16.5% 15.2% 12.0% 11.0% 9.7% 6.4% 5.5% 3.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Libby Redmond 13.9% 13.7% 13.5% 11.0% 11.0% 9.4% 7.4% 8.7% 5.2% 4.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Julia Conneely 9.5% 10.2% 9.4% 10.9% 9.4% 8.9% 9.4% 9.5% 7.8% 6.9% 5.2% 2.8% 0.1%
Megan Geith 5.6% 4.1% 6.4% 6.1% 7.7% 7.2% 8.1% 8.7% 10.6% 13.1% 11.5% 10.3% 0.6%
Sydney Monahan 13.8% 11.1% 12.2% 11.3% 9.8% 8.7% 11.2% 7.2% 6.1% 4.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Hailey Pemberton 3.4% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 5.7% 7.3% 7.5% 8.3% 10.2% 12.1% 15.0% 16.0% 0.7%
Madeline Stull 2.9% 3.1% 2.7% 3.9% 4.1% 4.5% 5.6% 5.6% 6.6% 11.8% 15.8% 31.0% 2.4%
Caylin Schnoor 5.4% 4.9% 4.8% 6.2% 5.8% 7.4% 9.0% 9.3% 10.3% 10.3% 13.7% 12.1% 0.8%
Olivia Lowthian 6.2% 9.2% 7.6% 7.2% 9.4% 10.6% 8.9% 9.2% 11.1% 8.2% 8.2% 4.0% 0.2%
Haley Andreasen 6.5% 6.1% 7.0% 6.9% 9.5% 7.7% 8.3% 10.8% 11.5% 9.8% 8.8% 6.5% 0.6%
Yitian Zhu 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 2.8% 93.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.