Race 14B

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Madeleine Rice 12.1% 11.3% 11.1% 11.5% 10.3% 10.8% 9.9% 7.1% 7.2% 3.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Hailey Pemberton 4.0% 3.4% 4.1% 6.3% 5.5% 6.9% 6.4% 8.3% 9.7% 13.0% 14.2% 16.8% 1.4%
Caroline Sandoval 4.1% 4.6% 5.8% 6.1% 7.2% 8.0% 9.0% 8.7% 10.1% 13.1% 13.2% 9.5% 0.6%
Katharine Doble 18.2% 16.8% 13.1% 12.4% 9.8% 10.2% 6.9% 6.6% 2.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 8.1% 6.9% 7.7% 8.7% 9.1% 8.8% 7.9% 10.4% 10.1% 8.4% 8.1% 5.6% 0.2%
Madeline Stull 2.3% 3.4% 2.9% 4.0% 4.1% 3.8% 6.3% 7.0% 8.4% 11.9% 15.2% 28.5% 2.2%
Libby Redmond 14.9% 13.3% 12.1% 13.5% 9.8% 8.8% 8.3% 7.4% 6.1% 3.5% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 11.5% 12.7% 13.1% 10.4% 10.4% 9.4% 11.0% 8.2% 5.8% 3.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 4.6% 5.6% 4.6% 4.8% 7.0% 6.4% 8.1% 8.3% 11.2% 10.9% 13.1% 14.3% 1.1%
Julia Conneely 9.4% 9.2% 10.7% 9.3% 11.4% 9.1% 8.2% 9.1% 8.0% 6.8% 5.8% 2.8% 0.2%
Megan Geith 4.8% 5.4% 7.1% 6.1% 6.8% 8.9% 8.5% 9.1% 9.8% 11.7% 11.7% 9.6% 0.5%
Haley Andreasen 5.8% 7.3% 7.4% 6.9% 8.4% 8.6% 9.4% 9.7% 10.5% 10.8% 8.2% 6.5% 0.5%
Yitian Zhu 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 93.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.