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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.63+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+0.72vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.67+0.07vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-2.43+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.84-1.52vs Predicted
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6American University-2.61-1.55vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.63-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Virginia Tech-1.630.2%1st Place
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2.72University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.3%1st Place
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3.07Penn State University-1.670.2%1st Place
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4.19William and Mary-2.430.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
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4.45American University-2.610.1%1st Place
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3.09Virginia Tech-1.630.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 19.8% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 27.9% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Merino | 20.7% | 19.6% | 19.0% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 9.5% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 23.6% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 14.8% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Clauson | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 36.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 19.8% | 21.5% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.