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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.63+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+0.74vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-2.43+1.21vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.67-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.84-1.55vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.63-2.94vs Predicted
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7American University-2.61-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Virginia Tech-1.630.2%1st Place
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2.74University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.3%1st Place
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4.21William and Mary-2.430.1%1st Place
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3.11Penn State University-1.670.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Maryland-1.840.2%1st Place
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3.06Virginia Tech-1.630.2%1st Place
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4.44American University-2.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 20.9% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 26.8% | 23.8% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 23.3% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Merino | 20.5% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 15.4% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 20.9% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Clauson | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 36.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.