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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.63+2.60vs Predicted
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2American University-0.06-0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+0.29vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.67-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-1.84-1.02vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.63-2.40vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-2.43-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
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1.77American University-0.060.5%1st Place
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3.29University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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3.67Penn State University-1.670.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
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3.6Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
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4.7William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 10.9% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 53.5% | 26.0% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 14.5% | 20.0% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Merino | 9.5% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 7.8% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 10.9% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 3.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 22.2% | 42.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.