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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+4.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.32vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.71+0.08vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+2.34vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71+5.35vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34+1.73vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10-0.45vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86-1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.05-0.05vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.05+2.66vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.34vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.67vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.15-4.62vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-4.03vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-2.66vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University-0.54-2.36vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.37-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Harvard University2.1710.8%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.0%1st Place
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5.54Boston College2.5611.8%1st Place
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4.08Yale University2.7119.4%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College1.846.9%1st Place
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11.35Fordham University0.711.8%1st Place
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8.73Tulane University1.345.5%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College2.107.1%1st Place
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7.91Georgetown University1.866.5%1st Place
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9.95University of Hawaii1.053.6%1st Place
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13.66Florida State University0.051.6%1st Place
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9.66Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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11.33St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.2%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University1.154.0%1st Place
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10.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.9%1st Place
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13.34University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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14.64Northwestern University-0.540.8%1st Place
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12.4Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.4% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Young | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Niah Ford | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 20.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 17.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 33.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.