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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.63+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+1.29vs Predicted
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3American University-0.06-1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.84-0.10vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.67-1.21vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.63-2.37vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-2.43-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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1.71American University-0.060.6%1st Place
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3.9University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
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3.79Penn State University-1.670.1%1st Place
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3.63Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
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4.68William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 9.4% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 21.4% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 12.7% | 22.8% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 56.3% | 24.2% | 13.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 9.5% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 23.4% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Merino | 8.8% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 21.3% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 9.4% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 21.4% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 3.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 41.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.