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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+2.34vs Predicted
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2American University-0.06-0.23vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.67+0.61vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.63-0.41vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.63-1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.84-2.01vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-2.43-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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1.77American University-0.060.5%1st Place
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3.61Penn State University-1.670.1%1st Place
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3.59Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
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3.59Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
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4.7William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Powell | 13.7% | 19.7% | 21.2% | 19.9% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 53.4% | 25.9% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Merino | 11.0% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 9.9% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 9.9% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 7.9% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 20.8% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 4.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 42.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.