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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.63+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+1.27vs Predicted
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3American University-0.06-1.28vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-2.43+0.64vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.67-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.84-2.07vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-1.63-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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1.72American University-0.060.6%1st Place
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4.64William and Mary-2.430.1%1st Place
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3.78Penn State University-1.670.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Maryland-1.840.1%1st Place
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3.66Virginia Tech-1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 9.3% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 13.3% | 22.6% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 55.5% | 25.3% | 13.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 41.2% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Merino | 8.8% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Saunders | 7.6% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 9.3% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.