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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.93+3.61vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.45-0.44vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-2.43-0.04vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.67-1.95vs Predicted
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6American University-2.61-1.78vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.93-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Virginia Tech-2.930.1%1st Place
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2.6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.3%1st Place
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2.56University of Maryland-1.450.3%1st Place
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3.96William and Mary-2.430.1%1st Place
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3.05Penn State University-1.670.2%1st Place
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4.22American University-2.610.1%1st Place
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4.61Virginia Tech-2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Heller | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 22.7% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 28.3% | 24.8% | 21.3% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 28.9% | 24.1% | 21.7% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 22.3% | 22.5% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Merino | 19.7% | 21.9% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Clauson | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 25.2% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Heller | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 22.7% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.