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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.93+3.61vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.45+0.62vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-0.45vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-2.43-0.03vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.67-1.96vs Predicted
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6American University-2.61-1.78vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-2.93-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Virginia Tech-2.930.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Maryland-1.450.3%1st Place
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2.55University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.3%1st Place
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3.97William and Mary-2.430.1%1st Place
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3.04Penn State University-1.670.2%1st Place
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4.22American University-2.610.1%1st Place
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4.61Virginia Tech-2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Heller | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 27.9% | 24.6% | 21.5% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 29.2% | 24.3% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Joaquin Merino | 19.8% | 22.0% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Clauson | 7.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 25.3% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Heller | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.