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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-1.45+1.16vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-2.93+1.74vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-2.43+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-1.92vs Predicted
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5American University-3.13-1.10vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-2.93-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16University of Maryland-1.450.4%1st Place
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3.74Virginia Tech-2.930.1%1st Place
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3.13William and Mary-2.430.1%1st Place
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2.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.4%1st Place
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3.9American University-3.130.1%1st Place
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3.74Virginia Tech-2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Garvey | 35.9% | 30.5% | 20.2% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Heller | 6.8% | 10.4% | 19.0% | 29.9% | 33.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 13.7% | 17.1% | 27.4% | 26.4% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 37.2% | 31.8% | 19.5% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Kane | 6.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 26.0% | 43.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Heller | 6.8% | 10.4% | 19.0% | 29.9% | 33.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.