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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-2.93+2.70vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-1.45+0.12vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-0.90vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-2.43-0.84vs Predicted
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5American University-3.13-1.07vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-2.93-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Virginia Tech-2.930.1%1st Place
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2.12University of Maryland-1.450.4%1st Place
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2.1University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.4%1st Place
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3.16William and Mary-2.430.1%1st Place
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3.93American University-3.130.1%1st Place
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3.7Virginia Tech-2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Heller | 8.4% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 28.1% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 35.6% | 31.6% | 20.8% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 37.5% | 29.5% | 21.5% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 12.5% | 18.9% | 24.8% | 28.0% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Julia Kane | 6.0% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 25.8% | 44.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Heller | 8.4% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 28.1% | 34.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.