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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+6.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+1.98vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+3.16vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+3.51vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+2.35vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56-0.54vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+0.77vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+1.80vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.34-0.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-0.42vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37+1.43vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.24+1.54vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.71-1.68vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.05-4.13vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-3.79vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.54-1.45vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-6.03vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.05-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.4%1st Place
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3.98Yale University2.7120.1%1st Place
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6.16Harvard University2.178.8%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College1.847.3%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.107.5%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.5611.3%1st Place
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7.77Georgetown University1.867.6%1st Place
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9.8Northeastern University1.183.4%1st Place
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8.54Tulane University1.345.6%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University1.153.8%1st Place
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12.43Boston University0.371.7%1st Place
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13.54University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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11.32Fordham University0.712.5%1st Place
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9.87University of Hawaii1.052.9%1st Place
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11.21St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.3%1st Place
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14.55Northwestern University-0.541.4%1st Place
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10.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.3%1st Place
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13.8Florida State University0.051.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.1% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 9.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 17.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Anna Kovacs | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 32.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Niah Ford | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.