Race 2A

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
William Hutchings 2.3% 3.5% 4.5% 4.5% 5.3% 4.3% 5.0% 4.5% 7.0% 5.6% 6.7% 6.4% 8.2% 9.8% 11.1% 11.3%
Gavin Rudolph 4.2% 4.2% 5.8% 6.2% 3.6% 6.4% 5.6% 6.1% 6.2% 7.3% 6.3% 8.4% 8.1% 7.9% 6.0% 7.7%
Coleman Bowen 5.1% 3.5% 4.3% 4.6% 5.1% 4.8% 6.0% 8.3% 4.5% 7.1% 8.0% 7.5% 8.9% 7.7% 6.8% 7.8%
Taylor Canfield 14.5% 14.6% 11.3% 10.4% 9.9% 8.8% 6.6% 6.9% 5.2% 4.2% 3.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Edward Glackin 3.6% 3.6% 5.2% 4.4% 3.6% 5.7% 5.0% 7.1% 6.1% 6.8% 7.2% 8.1% 7.2% 10.0% 9.6% 6.8%
Samuel Blouin 8.4% 10.5% 9.6% 10.5% 7.1% 8.7% 8.0% 7.4% 6.3% 6.2% 4.8% 4.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Shawn Murray 7.9% 7.4% 6.3% 7.3% 5.8% 7.2% 5.9% 8.1% 6.0% 9.0% 7.1% 6.2% 6.3% 3.9% 4.1% 1.5%
Mateo Vargas 5.3% 6.6% 6.5% 6.2% 7.1% 6.2% 5.4% 6.5% 8.3% 6.9% 7.4% 6.9% 6.8% 5.7% 4.5% 3.7%
Ian Holtzworth 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.3% 5.3% 7.3% 5.7% 5.8% 8.6% 7.6% 6.7% 8.6% 10.1% 10.0%
Michael Menninger 13.0% 12.7% 11.4% 10.0% 11.7% 10.1% 9.2% 5.3% 5.3% 3.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Jason Carminati 5.7% 4.1% 4.4% 4.4% 6.5% 4.7% 4.5% 5.9% 7.5% 6.6% 6.3% 8.8% 7.4% 8.8% 7.5% 6.9%
Zeke Horowitz 6.1% 5.9% 5.7% 6.8% 7.1% 5.9% 7.0% 6.1% 6.7% 7.6% 6.1% 6.3% 6.3% 7.1% 5.1% 4.2%
Eamon Glackin 3.7% 3.8% 4.9% 4.9% 5.8% 4.8% 6.2% 4.7% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 7.8% 6.0% 8.3% 7.1%
Alan Palmer 10.5% 10.3% 9.7% 9.9% 8.5% 8.8% 9.6% 6.2% 7.7% 4.1% 5.7% 2.6% 3.3% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Michael Whitford 4.6% 4.0% 4.1% 3.5% 5.2% 6.0% 7.2% 5.6% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 9.0% 9.8% 5.2%
Vincent Andrews 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 6.0% 8.9% 9.9% 13.9% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.