← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech-1.08+1.47vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech-1.08+0.47vs Predicted
-
3American University-1.50-0.04vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland-1.45-1.12vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University-1.59-1.91vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-3.56-0.60vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.47Virginia Tech-1.080.3%1st Place
-
2.47Virginia Tech-1.080.3%1st Place
-
2.96American University-1.500.2%1st Place
-
2.88University of Maryland-1.450.2%1st Place
-
3.09Penn State University-1.590.2%1st Place
-
5.4William and Mary-3.560.0%1st Place
-
4.21University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Heckler | 29.4% | 27.5% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 29.4% | 27.5% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 21.2% | 21.6% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 14.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Garvey | 22.4% | 20.2% | 22.4% | 19.7% | 13.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Makenna Labor | 18.3% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 15.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Shelby Woodward | 1.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 14.8% | 70.6% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 36.7% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.