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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.67+1.09vs Predicted
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2American University-1.07+0.51vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.59+0.16vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.67-1.91vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-3.56+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.91-2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Virginia Tech-0.670.4%1st Place
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2.51American University-1.070.3%1st Place
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3.16Penn State University-1.590.1%1st Place
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2.09Virginia Tech-0.670.4%1st Place
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5.34William and Mary-3.560.0%1st Place
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3.65University of Maryland-1.910.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ginsburg | 38.4% | 31.3% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 29.2% | 24.6% | 22.1% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Makenna Labor | 14.7% | 18.6% | 23.8% | 24.4% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ginsburg | 38.4% | 31.3% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Shelby Woodward | 1.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 15.9% | 67.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Fox | 10.4% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 25.6% | 23.1% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 6.0% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 34.7% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.