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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+1.54vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.11+0.31vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43-1.37vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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2.71University of New Hampshire1.020.3%1st Place
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4.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.31Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.63Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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3.13Maine Maritime Academy0.770.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 26.8% | 24.5% | 20.9% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 27.5% | 23.1% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Kate Myler | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 39.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 30.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 12.0% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 14.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 18.6% | 19.8% | 20.6% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.