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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.67vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.04vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.11+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.56vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.02-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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3.04Maine Maritime Academy0.770.2%1st Place
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4.3Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.66Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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2.77University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 26.3% | 25.2% | 21.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 3.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 22.1% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 13.2% | 7.3% |
| Harry Stevenson | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 23.9% | 30.7% |
| Kate Myler | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 38.6% |
| Walter Chiles | 11.8% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 16.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 24.9% | 23.1% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.