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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.66vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02-0.29vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.11+0.29vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43-1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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3.04Maine Maritime Academy0.770.2%1st Place
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2.71University of New Hampshire1.020.3%1st Place
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4.29Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.64Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 26.2% | 25.6% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 21.5% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 6.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 25.9% | 22.9% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 2.9% |
| Harry Stevenson | 8.3% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 25.0% | 29.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 12.5% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 15.6% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.