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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.34+7.99vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+3.48vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.09vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+3.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.39vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+5.40vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.37+5.98vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.17-2.00vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86-1.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-0.62vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.05-1.01vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.87-5.38vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.84vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-4.01vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.71-3.55vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.54-1.20vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.05-3.33vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.48-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Tulane University1.344.0%1st Place
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5.48Boston College2.5611.5%1st Place
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4.09Yale University2.7120.9%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College1.846.8%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.2%1st Place
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11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.1%1st Place
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12.98Boston University0.371.5%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University2.1711.0%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University1.865.9%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University1.154.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Hawaii1.053.0%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College1.879.4%1st Place
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11.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.2%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
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11.45Fordham University0.712.6%1st Place
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14.8Northwestern University-0.540.7%1st Place
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13.67Florida State University0.051.4%1st Place
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12.4University of Vermont0.482.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Hanes | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 20.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 34.7% |
| Niah Ford | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 21.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.