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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+1.77vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.60vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.11+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.53vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.80vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.43-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
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2.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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4.3Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.2Maine Maritime Academy0.770.2%1st Place
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3.6Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 24.5% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 30.4% | 22.5% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 23.4% | 30.9% |
| Kate Myler | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 23.1% | 37.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 17.2% | 21.3% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 9.3% |
| Walter Chiles | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.