← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.62vs Predicted
-
2Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.02vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.11+1.30vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.55vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire1.02-2.12vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College0.43-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
-
3.02Maine Maritime Academy0.770.2%1st Place
-
4.3Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
-
4.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
-
2.88University of New Hampshire1.020.2%1st Place
-
3.62Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 27.7% | 24.1% | 22.0% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 22.1% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 6.6% |
| Harry Stevenson | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 23.1% | 31.4% |
| Kate Myler | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 23.3% | 38.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 22.7% | 23.4% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 12.9% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.