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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.68vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.02-0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.03vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.11-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Maine Maritime Academy0.770.2%1st Place
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2.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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2.38University of New Hampshire1.020.3%1st Place
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3.97University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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3.69Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Richardsson | 23.0% | 24.3% | 23.5% | 20.1% | 9.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 32.8% | 28.0% | 22.7% | 12.5% | 4.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 30.1% | 26.5% | 23.8% | 14.2% | 5.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 25.7% | 46.2% |
| Harry Stevenson | 8.3% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 27.5% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.