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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+1.44vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.29vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.11+0.65vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of New Hampshire1.020.3%1st Place
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2.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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3.65Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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2.67Maine Maritime Academy0.770.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 29.6% | 25.6% | 23.5% | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 31.9% | 28.2% | 22.7% | 13.4% | 3.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 9.4% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 27.3% | 34.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 22.6% | 24.8% | 24.2% | 20.1% | 8.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 25.1% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.