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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire1.02+0.39vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.32vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.11-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.3%1st Place
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2.39University of New Hampshire1.020.3%1st Place
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2.68Maine Maritime Academy0.770.2%1st Place
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3.7Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 33.4% | 26.7% | 20.4% | 13.7% | 5.8% |
| Grace Cannon | 29.2% | 27.3% | 23.6% | 14.9% | 5.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 22.9% | 23.4% | 25.1% | 19.7% | 8.9% |
| Harry Stevenson | 7.7% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 26.9% | 35.4% |
| Kate Myler | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 24.8% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.