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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-1.76+4.28vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.94vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.52-0.46vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35-1.16vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.32-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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2.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.2%1st Place
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2.54Maine Maritime Academy0.520.3%1st Place
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2.84University of New Hampshire0.350.2%1st Place
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3.79Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Lane | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 67.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 21.4% | 22.7% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 4.7% |
| Ella Beauregard | 28.9% | 26.4% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 1.9% |
| Sam Harris | 22.4% | 21.3% | 23.9% | 18.0% | 11.4% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 11.4% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 26.9% | 13.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 12.7% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 25.5% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.