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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.00vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.52+0.55vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.76+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.42vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.32-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.35-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.2%1st Place
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2.55Maine Maritime Academy0.520.3%1st Place
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5.25Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.77Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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2.85University of New Hampshire0.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Leshaw | 20.1% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 4.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 30.6% | 24.1% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Evelyn Lane | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 67.6% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 12.8% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 21.1% | 24.3% | 9.7% |
| Amanda Yolles | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 26.0% | 13.6% |
| Sam Harris | 22.3% | 22.0% | 22.0% | 19.2% | 11.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.