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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.52+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+1.55vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.32+0.71vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.76+1.31vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.99vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.35-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Maine Maritime Academy0.520.3%1st Place
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3.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.1%1st Place
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3.71Bates College-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.31Middlebury College-1.760.0%1st Place
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3.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.2%1st Place
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2.82University of New Hampshire0.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Beauregard | 28.4% | 24.3% | 21.2% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 14.0% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 23.9% | 10.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 11.8% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 24.1% | 25.3% | 10.6% |
| Evelyn Lane | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 15.1% | 67.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 20.5% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 5.2% |
| Sam Harris | 22.8% | 22.5% | 22.8% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.